Riding profile
Gers — 2ème circonscription
The question
Gers — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Gers — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Gers, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 43% vote share, against 38% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
David TAUPIAC
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 79%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.0
- P(close race)
- 43%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereGers — 2ème circonscription | 42.7% | 37.7% | 14.5% | 4.2% |
| Provincial averageGers | 34.6% +8.1 | 38.8% −1.1 | 7.9% +6.6 | 4.1% +0.2 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +13.2 | 36.0% +1.8 | 12.2% +2.3 | 3.9% +0.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| David TAUPIAC Elected | Left (NFP) | 24,185 | 45.8 | — |
| Alice CENDRÉ | RN and allies | 18,739 | 35.5 | — |
| Barbara NETO | LR and allies | 7,416 | 14.0 | — |
| Jean-Luc DAVEZAC | Others | 1,293 | 2.5 | — |
| Martine ARNAUDY | RN and allies | 679 | 1.3 | — |
| Michèle MARTIN | Far left | 481 | 0.9 | — |
| Abla LAZORAT | Others | 13 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Gers — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Garonne — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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