Riding profile
Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription
The question
Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Lot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Lot-et-Garonne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 52% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Hélène LAPORTE
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 26.1
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLot-et-Garonne — 2ème circonscription | 52.1% | 26.0% | 16.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageLot-et-Garonne | 46.6% +5.5 | 27.1% −1.1 | 20.1% −3.2 | 2.5% −0.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +16.1 | 29.5% −3.5 | 20.6% −3.6 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hélène LAPORTE Elected | RN and allies | 25,283 | 49.3 | — |
| Christophe COURREGELONGUE | Left (NFP) | 13,787 | 26.9 | — |
| Jean-Marie LENZI | Centre (Ensemble) | 11,272 | 22.0 | — |
| Nathalie LAMBOLEZ | Far left | 929 | 1.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Lot-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 12ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Lot-et-Garonne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 10ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Gironde — 9ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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