Riding profile

Dordogne — 4ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Dordogne

The question

Dordogne — 4ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Dordogne — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Dordogne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 34% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Sébastien PEYTAVIE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Competitive

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
6.4
P(close race)
24%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.0%
  • Left (NFP) 33.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 14.6%
  • LR and allies 8.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereDordogne — 4ème circonscription 40.0%33.6%14.6%8.8%
Provincial averageDordogne 42.6% −2.6 29.3% +4.3 16.7% −2.1 8.1% +0.8
National averageFrance 36.0% +4.0 29.5% +4.1 20.6% −6.0 12.2% −3.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+6.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Dominique-Louise MARCHAUDON RN and allies 22,767 36.0 —
Sébastien PEYTAVIE Elected Left (NFP) 21,801 34.5 —
Jérôme PEYRAT Centre (Ensemble) 10,521 16.6 —
Anne-Catherine BALLAND LR and allies 4,836 7.7 —
François TOURNE Centre (Ensemble) 1,904 3.0 —
Nathalie BALLERAND RN and allies 730 1.1 —
Christophe GREEN-MADEO Far left 657 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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