Riding profile

Dordogne — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Dordogne

The question

Dordogne — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Dordogne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Dordogne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Florence JOUBERT

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 42.9%
  • Left (NFP) 27.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 18.3%
  • LR and allies 7.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereDordogne — 3ème circonscription 42.9%27.7%18.3%7.7%
Provincial averageDordogne 42.6% +0.3 29.3% −1.6 16.7% +1.6 8.1% −0.3
National averageFrance 36.0% +7.0 29.5% −1.8 20.6% −2.3 12.2% −4.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Florence JOUBERT Elected RN and allies 19,093 40.1
Christelle DRUILLOLE Left (NFP) 13,600 28.6
Jean-Pierre CUBERTAFON Centre (Ensemble) 11,103 23.3
Myriam THOMASSON LR and allies 3,104 6.5
Jacques DECOUPY Far left 681 1.4
Last model run
Cycle
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