Riding profile
Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription
The question
Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Vienne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 36% for the united left, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Stéphane DELAUTRETTE
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 57%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 3.8
- P(close race)
- 86%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Vienne — 2ème circonscription | 39.7% | 35.9% | 19.4% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Vienne | 37.7% +2.0 | 35.4% +0.5 | 21.0% −1.6 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +3.7 | 29.5% +6.4 | 20.6% −1.2 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sabrina MINGUET | RN and allies | 25,539 | 36.9 | — |
| Stéphane DELAUTRETTE Elected | Left (NFP) | 25,520 | 36.8 | — |
| Marie-Eve TAYOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,937 | 24.4 | — |
| Claudine ROUSSIE | Far left | 1,290 | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Dordogne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Corrèze — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Dordogne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Charente — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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