Riding profile
Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription
The question
Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Haute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Vienne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 36% vote share, against 36% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Damien MAUDET
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 70%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.3
- P(close race)
- 60%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Vienne — 1ère circonscription | 36.0% | 35.7% | 21.9% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Vienne | 35.4% +0.6 | 37.7% −2.0 | 21.0% +1.0 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +6.5 | 36.0% −0.3 | 20.6% +1.3 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Damien MAUDET Elected | Left (NFP) | 21,271 | 36.9 | — |
| Camille DOS SANTOS DE OLIVEIRA | RN and allies | 18,904 | 32.8 | — |
| Isabelle NEGRIER | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,544 | 27.0 | — |
| Serge MORETTI | Sovereignists | 1,066 | 1.9 | — |
| Elisabeth FAUCON | Far left | 803 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Haute-Vienne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Creuse — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Corrèze — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Corrèze — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Indre — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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