Riding profile

Corrèze — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Corrèze

The question

Corrèze — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Corrèze — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Corrèze, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 35% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

François HOLLANDE

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
54%
Mean margin (pts)
2.0
P(close race)
89%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 35.0%
  • RN and allies 33.0%
  • LR and allies 28.3%
  • Others 1.9%
  • Far left 1.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Others
HereCorrèze — 1ère circonscription 35.0%33.0%28.3%1.9%
Provincial averageCorrèze 29.8% +5.2 35.1% −2.1 31.4% −3.0 1.9%
National averageFrance 29.5% +5.5 36.0% −3.0 12.2% +16.1 3.9% −2.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
François HOLLANDE Elected Left (NFP) 24,720 37.6
Maïtey POUGET RN and allies 20,298 30.9
Francis DUBOIS LR and allies 18,816 28.6
Marie-Thérèse COINAUD Far left 1,303 2.0
Gilles OGUINENA RN and allies 563 0.9
Last model run
Cycle
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