Riding profile
Lot — 2ème circonscription
The question
Lot — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?
Editorial read
Lot — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Lot, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 38% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christophe PROENÇA
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 96%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 4.6
- P(close race)
- 7%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereLot — 2ème circonscription | 37.8% | 33.2% | 21.9% | 4.6% |
| Provincial averageLot | 30.6% +7.2 | 30.0% +3.3 | 12.9% +9.0 | 3.3% +1.3 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +8.3 | 36.0% −2.7 | 20.6% +1.3 | 3.9% +0.7 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe PROENÇA Elected | Left (NFP) | 18,079 | 38.2 | — |
| Gérard Raymond BLANCHET | RN and allies | 14,369 | 30.4 | — |
| Huguette TIEGNA | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,752 | 27.0 | — |
| Daniel PAGET | Others | 1,237 | 2.6 | — |
| Marie-Michèle VIAU | Far left | 607 | 1.3 | — |
| Rabah BOUGUERRA | Left (NFP) | 259 | 0.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Lot — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Corrèze — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aveyron — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Tarn-et-Garonne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Cantal — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Tarn — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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