Riding profile

Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Vienne

The question

Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Haute-Vienne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Vienne, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 38% vote share, against 34% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Manon MEUNIER

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Toss-up

Probability
62%
Mean margin (pts)
3.4
P(close race)
75%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.7%
  • Left (NFP) 34.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.6%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Sovereignists 1.9%
  • Far left 1.3%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereHaute-Vienne — 3ème circonscription 37.7%34.3%21.6%2.0%
Provincial averageHaute-Vienne 37.7% 35.4% −1.1 21.0% +0.6 2.0%
National averageFrance 36.0% +1.7 29.5% +4.8 20.6% +1.0 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Manon MEUNIER Elected Left (NFP) 19,494 35.2
Albin FREYCHET RN and allies 19,310 34.9
Gilles TOULZA Centre (Ensemble) 14,768 26.6
Zohra RADJETTI Sovereignists 1,044 1.9
Daniel MOURNETAS Far left 797 1.4
Last model run
Cycle
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