Riding profile

Charente — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente

The question

Charente — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Charente — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 25% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Caroline COLOMBIER

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
22.2
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 47.2%
  • Left (NFP) 25.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 19.5%
  • LR and allies 5.0%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereCharente — 3ème circonscription 47.2%25.0%19.5%5.0%
Provincial averageCharente 41.9% +5.3 25.5% −0.5 22.4% −2.9 6.8% −1.7
National averageFrance 36.0% +11.2 29.5% −4.5 20.6% −1.1 12.2% −7.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+22.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Caroline COLOMBIER Elected RN and allies 25,976 43.0
Virginie LEBRAUD Left (NFP) 15,653 25.9
Gwenhaël FRANÇOIS Centre (Ensemble) 14,829 24.5
Dominique SOUCHAUD LR and allies 2,293 3.8
Adrien TOUZÉ RN and allies 889 1.5
Patrick CURGALI Far left 844 1.4
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next