Riding profile

Charente — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente

The question

Charente — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Charente — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 34% vote share, against 32% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

René PILATO

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
56%
Mean margin (pts)
2.4
P(close race)
84%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 34.3%
  • Left (NFP) 31.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.2%
  • LR and allies 5.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.4%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereCharente — 1ère circonscription 34.3%31.9%25.2%5.2%
Provincial averageCharente 41.9% −7.6 25.5% +6.4 22.4% +2.8 6.8% −1.5
National averageFrance 36.0% −1.7 29.5% +2.4 20.6% +4.6 12.2% −7.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.4 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
René PILATO Elected Left (NFP) 18,166 32.8
Thomas MESNIER Centre (Ensemble) 16,784 30.3
Marion LATUS RN and allies 16,761 30.3
Alain BOIVIN LR and allies 2,226 4.0
Olivier NICOLAS Far left 818 1.5
Doraline BERNARD RN and allies 633 1.1
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next