Riding profile

Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente-Maritime

The question

Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?

Editorial read

Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente-Maritime, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 37% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Benoît BITEAU

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
97%
Mean margin (pts)
11.2
P(close race)
5%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 37.3%
  • Left (NFP) 26.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 20.3%
  • LR and allies 13.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereCharente-Maritime — 2ème circonscription 37.3%26.1%20.3%13.5%
Provincial averageCharente-Maritime 40.2% −3.0 32.6% −6.5 23.4% −3.1 5.3% +8.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +1.3 29.5% −3.4 20.6% −0.3 12.2% +1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+11.2 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Karen BERTHOLOM RN and allies 26,862 34.4 —
Benoît BITEAU Elected Left (NFP) 21,027 26.9 —
Anne-Laure BABAULT Centre (Ensemble) 19,773 25.3 —
Hervé BLANCHÉ LR and allies 9,651 12.4 —
Frédéric CASTELLO Far left 749 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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