Riding profile
Vendée — 5ème circonscription
The question
Vendée — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Vendée — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Vendée, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 41% vote share, against 30% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Pierre HENRIET
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 74%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 11.0
- P(close race)
- 52%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereVendée — 5ème circonscription | 40.7% | 29.7% | 19.3% | 5.9% |
| Provincial averageVendée | 36.2% +4.4 | 28.6% +1.1 | 19.5% −0.2 | 11.7% −5.8 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.7 | 20.6% +9.1 | 29.5% −10.2 | 12.2% −6.3 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stéphane BUFFETAUT | RN and allies | 21,309 | 37.9 | — |
| Pierre HENRIET Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 19,606 | 34.8 | — |
| Pierre-Hugues FOURAGE | Left (NFP) | 11,321 | 20.1 | — |
| Marius GALAND | LR and allies | 2,633 | 4.7 | — |
| Sonia LE THEIX | Sovereignists | 742 | 1.3 | — |
| Béatrice RUAULT | Far left | 659 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vendée — 4ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vendée — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Deux-Sèvres — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Maine-et-Loire — 5ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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