Riding profile

Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Charente-Maritime

The question

Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente-Maritime, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 71% vote share, against 26% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Olivier FALORNI

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
45.1
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 70.7%
  • RN and allies 25.6%
  • Others 2.1%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Others LR and allies
HereCharente-Maritime — 1ère circonscription 70.7%25.6%2.1%1.2%
Provincial averageCharente-Maritime 32.6% +38.1 40.2% −14.7 2.0% +0.1 5.3% −4.2
National averageFrance 29.5% +41.2 36.0% −10.4 3.9% −1.8 12.2% −11.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+45.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Olivier FALORNI Elected Left (NFP) 34,824 45.6 —
Jean-Marc SOUBESTE Left (NFP) 22,618 29.6 —
Emma CHAUVEAU RN and allies 17,278 22.6 —
Nicolas FRANCOIS RN and allies 975 1.3 —
Antoine COLIN Far left 430 0.6 —
Philippe PERE Others 170 0.2 —
Yasmina SAMRI Left (NFP) 2 0.0 —
Françoise RAMEL Others 0 0.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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