Riding profile
Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription
The question
Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Charente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Charente-Maritime, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christophe PLASSARD
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 19.0
- P(close race)
- 4%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCharente-Maritime — 5ème circonscription | 46.6% | 27.6% | 21.3% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageCharente-Maritime | 40.2% +6.4 | 23.4% +4.3 | 32.6% −11.3 | 2.0% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +10.6 | 20.6% +7.1 | 29.5% −8.2 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aymeric MONGELOUS | RN and allies | 36,296 | 43.8 | — |
| Christophe PLASSARD Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 27,124 | 32.8 | — |
| Anne BRACHET | Left (NFP) | 18,344 | 22.1 | — |
| Danièle CASSETTE | Far left | 1,051 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Charente-Maritime — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vendée — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Vendée — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Charente-Maritime — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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