Riding profile

Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Côte-d'Or

The question

Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Côte-d'Or, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 33% vote share, against 29% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Océane GODARD

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
87%
Mean margin (pts)
4.0
P(close race)
26%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 32.7%
  • RN and allies 28.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.4%
  • LR and allies 13.3%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.9%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereCôte-d'Or — 1ère circonscription 32.7%28.6%22.4%13.3%
Provincial averageCôte-d'Or 25.6% +7.1 39.3% −10.7 21.8% +0.6 13.9% −0.6
National averageFrance 29.5% +3.2 36.0% −7.3 20.6% +1.8 12.2% +1.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Océane GODARD Elected Left (NFP) 14,679 29.2 —
Didier MARTIN Centre (Ensemble) 13,830 27.5 —
Cyline HUMBLOT-CORNILLE RN and allies 12,969 25.8 —
François-Xavier DUGOURD LR and allies 6,126 12.2 —
Sladana ZIVKOVIC Left (NFP) 2,232 4.4 —
Julien THÉVENIN Far left 497 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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