Riding profile
Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription
The question
Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Saône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Saône-et-Loire, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 45% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Eric MICHOUX
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 17.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSaône-et-Loire — 4ème circonscription | 44.9% | 27.7% | 22.3% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageSaône-et-Loire | 41.3% +3.6 | 22.4% +5.3 | 18.9% +3.5 | 2.0% −0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +8.9 | 29.5% −1.8 | 12.2% +10.1 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric MICHOUX Elected | RN and allies | 24,275 | 44.3 | — |
| Cécile UNTERMAIER | Left (NFP) | 16,403 | 30.0 | — |
| Anthony VADOT | LR and allies | 12,222 | 22.3 | — |
| Claude COURATIER | Far left | 1,115 | 2.0 | — |
| Véronique BELLEST | Sovereignists | 728 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Jura — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Ain — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ain — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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