Riding profile
Ain — 4ème circonscription
The question
Ain — 4ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Ain — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Ain, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 49% vote share, against 19% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jérôme BUISSON
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 29.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAin — 4ème circonscription | 48.8% | 19.1% | 16.8% | 12.1% |
| Provincial averageAin | 42.7% +6.1 | 22.5% −3.3 | 15.4% +1.5 | 15.8% −3.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +12.8 | 29.5% −10.4 | 20.6% −3.7 | 12.2% −0.1 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jérôme BUISSON Elected | RN and allies | 30,221 | 46.0 | — |
| Christophe COQUELET | Centre (Ensemble) | 14,367 | 21.9 | — |
| Charline LIOTIER | Left (NFP) | 13,113 | 20.0 | — |
| Guy BILLOUDET | LR and allies | 7,179 | 10.9 | — |
| Sylvain COUSSON | Far left | 705 | 1.1 | — |
| Jérémy NICAUD | Others | 85 | 0.1 | — |
| Yannick BRESSON | Others | 17 | 0.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Ain — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ain — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 5ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Rhône — 7ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Rhône — 13ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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