Riding profile

Rhône — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Rhône — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 62% vote share, against 21% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Gabriel AMARD

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
41.3
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 62.3%
  • RN and allies 21.0%
  • LR and allies 12.9%
  • Others 2.1%
  • Far left 0.9%
  • Greens 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies LR and allies Others
HereRhône — 6ème circonscription 62.3%21.0%12.9%2.1%
Provincial averageRhône 36.0% +26.3 29.2% −8.2 12.4% +0.5 2.2% −0.1
National averageFrance 29.5% +32.8 36.0% −15.0 12.2% +0.7 3.9% −1.8

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+41.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Gabriel AMARD Elected Left (NFP) 26,876 46.2 —
Jean-Paul BRET Left (NFP) 11,628 20.0 —
Délia AGUS RN and allies 11,057 19.0 —
Marc FRAYSSE LR and allies 7,190 12.3 —
Joseph BASILIEN Greens 714 1.2 —
Nadia BOUHAMI Far left 453 0.8 —
Raphaëlle MIZONY Far left 183 0.3 —
Teyi Kekeli LAWSON DOUTE Others 127 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next