Riding profile

Rhône — 14ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 14ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Rhône — 14ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 48% vote share, against 32% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Idir BOUMERTIT

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
15.7
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 47.8%
  • RN and allies 32.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 10.6%
  • LR and allies 5.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereRhône — 14ème circonscription 47.8%32.0%10.6%5.8%
Provincial averageRhône 36.0% +11.8 29.2% +2.9 20.4% −9.7 12.4% −6.6
National averageFrance 29.5% +18.3 36.0% −3.9 20.6% −10.0 12.2% −6.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+15.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Idir BOUMERTIT Elected Left (NFP) 21,854 48.8 —
Cédric MERMET RN and allies 12,637 28.2 —
Ludovic ALMERAS Centre (Ensemble) 6,996 15.6 —
David MAZZONE LR and allies 2,059 4.6 —
Olivier MINOUX Far left 815 1.8 —
Blandine RIHA RN and allies 437 1.0 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next