Riding profile

Rhône — 7ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 7ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Rhône — 7ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 45% vote share, against 25% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Abdelkader LAHMAR

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
19.9
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 45.0%
  • RN and allies 25.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.0%
  • LR and allies 4.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.1%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereRhône — 7ème circonscription 45.0%25.1%22.0%4.7%
Provincial averageRhône 36.0% +9.0 29.2% −4.1 20.4% +1.6 12.4% −7.7
National averageFrance 29.5% +15.5 36.0% −10.9 20.6% +1.4 12.2% −7.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+19.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Abdelkader LAHMAR Elected Left (NFP) 20,063 46.0 —
Alexandre VINCENDET Centre (Ensemble) 11,799 27.1 —
Cédric PIGNAL RN and allies 9,280 21.3 —
Myriam FONTAINE LR and allies 1,536 3.5 —
Thomas SPREUX Far left 526 1.2 —
Régine BENON RN and allies 411 0.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next