Riding profile

Rhône — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Rhône — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 51% vote share, against 19% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Marie-Charlotte GARIN

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability: 100%
Mean margin (pts): 32.1
P(close race): 0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

Left (NFP) 50.8%
RN and allies 18.7%
Centre (Ensemble) 16.5%
LR and allies 10.5%
Others 2.1%
Greens 0.7%
Far left 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

	Left (NFP)	RN and allies	Centre (Ensemble)	LR and allies
HereRhône — 3ème circonscription	50.8%	18.7%	16.5%	10.5%
Provincial averageRhône	36.0% +14.8	29.2% −10.5	20.4% −3.8	12.4% −2.0
National averageFrance	29.5% +21.3	36.0% −17.3	20.6% −4.1	12.2% −1.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by

Left (NFP)

Margin

0.0 pts

Margin shift vs current projection

+32.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate	Party	Votes	%	Occupation
Marie-Charlotte GARIN Elected	Left (NFP)	27,736	51.5	—
Clara EYNAUD-LASSALLE	Centre (Ensemble)	11,557	21.5	—
Clotilde MORIN	RN and allies	7,938	14.7	—
Béatrice DE MONTILLE	LR and allies	4,464	8.3	—
Éric LAFOND	Greens	688	1.3	—
Leo BOURRET	LR and allies	501	0.9	—
Marie RILLY	RN and allies	486	0.9	—
Jean-Noël DUDUKDJIAN	Far left	260	0.5	—
Anaïs BARRALLON	Far left	141	0.3	—
Marc CHINAL	Others	71	0.1	—

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run: July 11, 2026
Cycle: fr_leg_next