Riding profile

Rhône — 13ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Rhône

The question

Rhône — 13ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Rhône — 13ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Rhône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 40% vote share, against 27% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Tiffany JONCOUR

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
13.5
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 40.2%
  • Left (NFP) 26.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 19.2%
  • LR and allies 11.3%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 0.8%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereRhône — 13ème circonscription 40.2%26.6%19.2%11.3%
Provincial averageRhône 29.2% +11.0 36.0% −9.4 20.4% −1.2 12.4% −1.2
National averageFrance 36.0% +4.2 29.5% −2.8 20.6% −1.4 12.2% −1.0

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+13.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Tiffany JONCOUR Elected RN and allies 22,417 36.4 —
Victor PRANDT Left (NFP) 16,178 26.2 —
Sarah TANZILLI Centre (Ensemble) 14,933 24.2 —
Philippe MEUNIER LR and allies 6,106 9.9 —
Didier BARTHÈS Left (NFP) 799 1.3 —
Océane GIGAREL RN and allies 610 1.0 —
Michel PIOT Far left 523 0.8 —
Patrick BIAUT LR and allies 105 0.2 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.

Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next