Riding profile

Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Côte-d'Or

The question

Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Côte-d'Or, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 48% vote share, against 26% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

René LIORET

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
21.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 48.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 26.3%
  • Left (NFP) 18.5%
  • LR and allies 3.8%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) LR and allies
HereCôte-d'Or — 5ème circonscription 48.1%26.3%18.5%3.8%
Provincial averageCôte-d'Or 39.3% +8.7 21.8% +4.5 25.6% −7.1 13.9% −10.1
National averageFrance 36.0% +12.1 20.6% +5.7 29.5% −11.0 12.2% −8.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+21.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
René LIORET Elected RN and allies 26,514 45.3 —
Didier PARIS Centre (Ensemble) 18,128 31.0 —
Jérôme FLACHE Left (NFP) 11,296 19.3 —
Arnaud CHERONT LR and allies 1,531 2.6 —
Françoise PETET Far left 818 1.4 —
Nicolas BAUDOT Centre (Ensemble) 233 0.4 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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