Riding profile
Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription
The question
Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Côte-d'Or, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 43% vote share, against 35% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Hubert BRIGAND
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 64%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.5
- P(close race)
- 72%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCôte-d'Or — 4ème circonscription | 43.0% | 34.5% | 18.7% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageCôte-d'Or | 39.3% +3.7 | 13.9% +20.6 | 25.6% −6.9 | 2.0% −0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +7.0 | 12.2% +22.3 | 29.5% −10.8 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie DUMONT | RN and allies | 19,881 | 42.3 | — |
| Hubert BRIGAND Elected | LR and allies | 16,531 | 35.2 | — |
| Valérie JACQ | Left (NFP) | 9,616 | 20.5 | — |
| Michel DENIZOT | Far left | 940 | 2.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Saône-et-Loire — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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