Riding profile
Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription
The question
Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Marne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 52% vote share, against 23% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Christophe BENTZ
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.6
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Marne — 1ère circonscription | 51.6% | 23.0% | 19.5% | 2.8% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Marne | 54.2% −2.6 | 23.0% | 15.7% +3.9 | 2.3% +0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +15.6 | 20.6% +2.4 | 29.5% −10.0 | 3.9% −1.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christophe BENTZ Elected | RN and allies | 21,815 | 48.8 | — |
| Bérangère ABBA | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,529 | 28.1 | — |
| Benjamin LAMBERT | Left (NFP) | 9,104 | 20.4 | — |
| Sylvain DEMAY | Far left | 869 | 1.9 | — |
| Baptiste GALLET | Others | 355 | 0.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vosges — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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