Riding profile
Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription
The question
Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Haute-Marne — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Marne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 57% vote share, against 28% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Laurence ROBERT-DEHAULT
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 28.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Marne — 2ème circonscription | 56.7% | 27.9% | 11.8% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Marne | 54.2% +2.6 | 14.5% +13.3 | 15.7% −3.9 | 2.3% −0.4 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +20.8 | 12.2% +15.6 | 29.5% −17.7 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laurence ROBERT-DEHAULT Elected | RN and allies | 21,009 | 56.8 | — |
| Nicolas LACROIX | LR and allies | 10,407 | 28.1 | — |
| Ingrid VIOT | Left (NFP) | 4,876 | 13.2 | — |
| Justin PRUM | Far left | 684 | 1.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Meuse — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Vosges — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Marne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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