Riding profile
Marne — 5ème circonscription
The question
Marne — 5ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Marne — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Marne, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 50% vote share, against 38% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Charles DE COURSON
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 12.3
- P(close race)
- 5%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMarne — 5ème circonscription | 49.8% | 37.5% | 8.6% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageMarne | 37.3% +12.4 | 28.9% +8.6 | 18.2% −9.6 | 2.0% −0.1 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +13.8 | 20.6% +16.9 | 29.5% −20.9 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thierry BESSON | RN and allies | 23,954 | 47.0 | — |
| Charles DE COURSON Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,751 | 42.7 | — |
| Gaël PADIOU | Left (NFP) | 4,774 | 9.4 | — |
| Joëlle BASTIEN | Far left | 502 | 1.0 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Marne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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