Riding profile
Marne — 3ème circonscription
The question
Marne — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Marne — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Marne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 48% vote share, against 27% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Maxime MICHELET
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 21.2
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Sovereignists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMarne — 3ème circonscription | 48.0% | 26.8% | 18.0% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageMarne | 37.3% +10.7 | 28.9% −2.1 | 18.2% −0.2 | 2.5% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +12.1 | 20.6% +6.2 | 29.5% −11.5 | 1.6% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maxime MICHELET Elected | RN and allies | 21,890 | 43.8 | — |
| Eric GIRARDIN | Centre (Ensemble) | 15,942 | 31.9 | — |
| Chantal BERTHÉLÉMY | Left (NFP) | 9,397 | 18.8 | — |
| Johanna JABBOUR | Sovereignists | 1,219 | 2.4 | — |
| Charlotte CORMERAIS | Far left | 769 | 1.5 | — |
| Julien SENE | RN and allies | 719 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Marne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 1ère circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aube — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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