Riding profile
Aisne — 5ème circonscription
The question
Aisne — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Aisne — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Aisne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 56% vote share, against 19% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Jocelyn DESSIGNY
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 36.9
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereAisne — 5ème circonscription | 55.8% | 18.9% | 15.7% | 6.3% |
| Provincial averageAisne | 55.9% −0.1 | 20.8% −1.9 | 16.9% −1.2 | 9.0% −2.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +19.8 | 29.5% −10.6 | 20.6% −4.9 | 12.2% −5.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jocelyn DESSIGNY Elected | RN and allies | 27,670 | 53.1 | — |
| Jeanne ROUSSEL | Centre (Ensemble) | 10,811 | 20.7 | — |
| Karim BELAÏD | Left (NFP) | 10,272 | 19.7 | — |
| Jade GILQUIN | LR and allies | 2,665 | 5.1 | — |
| Yona MERBOUCHE | Far left | 721 | 1.4 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Aisne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Oise — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
fr_leg_next