Riding profile
Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription
The question
Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Seine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Seine-et-Marne, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 42% vote share, against 28% for the united left, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Béatrice ROULLAUD
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 95%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 13.6
- P(close race)
- 10%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereSeine-et-Marne — 6ème circonscription | 41.6% | 27.9% | 26.5% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageSeine-et-Marne | 35.7% +5.8 | 31.1% −3.1 | 14.6% +11.9 | 1.5% +0.6 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +5.6 | 29.5% −1.5 | 12.2% +14.3 | 1.1% +0.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Béatrice ROULLAUD Elected | RN and allies | 20,994 | 40.8 | — |
| Amal BENTOUNSI | Left (NFP) | 15,548 | 30.2 | — |
| Régis SARAZIN | LR and allies | 13,739 | 26.7 | — |
| Annie RIEUPET | Far left | 1,167 | 2.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Seine-et-Marne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Oise — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 7ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 8ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Oise — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Seine-et-Marne — 10ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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