Riding profile
Marne — 1ère circonscription
The question
Marne — 1ère circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to LR and allies?
Editorial read
Marne — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Marne, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 38% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Xavier ALBERTINI
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 1%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| LR and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | RN and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMarne — 1ère circonscription | 38.3% | 28.7% | 26.2% | 3.0% |
| Provincial averageMarne | 11.4% +26.9 | 28.9% −0.1 | 18.2% +8.0 | 37.3% −34.3 |
| National averageFrance | 12.2% +26.1 | 20.6% +8.2 | 29.5% −3.3 | 36.0% −32.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Adrien MEXIS | LR and allies | 17,697 | 37.3 | — |
| Xavier ALBERTINI Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 16,058 | 33.8 | — |
| Evelyne BOURGOIN | Left (NFP) | 12,835 | 27.1 | — |
| Vincent VARLET | Far left | 856 | 1.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Marne — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Aisne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Ardennes — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Marne — 5ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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