Riding profile
Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription
The question
Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Saône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Antoine VILLEDIEU
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 27.8
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereHaute-Saône — 1ère circonscription | 52.7% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 3.5% |
| Provincial averageHaute-Saône | 53.3% −0.5 | 16.9% +8.0 | 19.0% −2.7 | 2.7% +0.7 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +16.8 | 20.6% +4.3 | 29.5% −13.1 | 3.9% −0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antoine VILLEDIEU Elected | RN and allies | 29,459 | 48.8 | — |
| Alain CHRETIEN | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,093 | 30.0 | — |
| Sébastien POYARD | Left (NFP) | 10,362 | 17.2 | — |
| Mohamed-Salah ZELFA | Others | 906 | 1.5 | — |
| Cédric FISCHER | Far left | 816 | 1.4 | — |
| Philippe GHILES | RN and allies | 701 | 1.2 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Doubs — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Doubs — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Jura — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Haute-Marne — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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