Riding profile

Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Haute-Saône

The question

Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?

Editorial read

Haute-Saône — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Haute-Saône, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 53% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Antoine VILLEDIEU

Sits with RN and allies

Current forecast

RN and allies

Safe

Probability
100%
Mean margin (pts)
27.8
P(close race)
0%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 52.7%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 24.9%
  • Left (NFP) 16.3%
  • Others 3.5%
  • Far left 1.3%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Left (NFP) Others
HereHaute-Saône — 1ère circonscription 52.7%24.9%16.3%3.5%
Provincial averageHaute-Saône 53.3% −0.5 16.9% +8.0 19.0% −2.7 2.7% +0.7
National averageFrance 36.0% +16.8 20.6% +4.3 29.5% −13.1 3.9% −0.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
RN and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+27.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Antoine VILLEDIEU Elected RN and allies 29,459 48.8
Alain CHRETIEN Centre (Ensemble) 18,093 30.0
Sébastien POYARD Left (NFP) 10,362 17.2
Mohamed-Salah ZELFA Others 906 1.5
Cédric FISCHER Far left 816 1.4
Philippe GHILES RN and allies 701 1.2
Last model run
Cycle
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