Riding profile

Doubs — 2ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Doubs

The question

Doubs — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Doubs — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Doubs, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 33% vote share, against 33% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Dominique VOYNET

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
68%
Mean margin (pts)
0.3
P(close race)
64%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 33.2%
  • RN and allies 33.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 21.7%
  • LR and allies 8.7%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.3%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereDoubs — 2ème circonscription 33.2%33.0%21.7%8.7%
Provincial averageDoubs 25.7% +7.6 40.3% −7.3 19.7% +2.1 9.7% −1.0
National averageFrance 29.5% +3.8 36.0% −3.0 20.6% +1.1 12.2% −3.5

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.3 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Dominique VOYNET Elected Left (NFP) 19,160 34.2
Eric FUSIS RN and allies 16,895 30.1
Benoît VUILLEMIN Centre (Ensemble) 15,026 26.8
Daniel ROY LR and allies 4,215 7.5
Brigitte VUITTON Far left 788 1.4
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next