Riding profile
Doubs — 3ème circonscription
The question
Doubs — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the RN and its allies?
Editorial read
Doubs — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Doubs, elected a member with the RN and its allies in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 47% vote share, against 25% for the centrist bloc, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Matthieu BLOCH
Sits with RN and allies
Current forecast
RN and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 100%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 22.0
- P(close race)
- 0%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | Sovereignists | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDoubs — 3ème circonscription | 47.1% | 25.1% | 20.7% | 2.1% |
| Provincial averageDoubs | 40.3% +6.8 | 19.7% +5.5 | 25.7% −5.0 | 2.1% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +11.1 | 20.6% +4.5 | 29.5% −8.8 | 1.6% +0.5 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthieu BLOCH Elected | RN and allies | 18,795 | 44.4 | — |
| Nicolas PACQUOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 12,806 | 30.2 | — |
| Virginie DAYET | Left (NFP) | 9,138 | 21.6 | — |
| Brandon KEMPS | Sovereignists | 889 | 2.1 | — |
| Franck PLAIN | Far left | 753 | 1.8 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Doubs — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Territoire de Belfort — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Territoire de Belfort — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Doubs — 5ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Doubs — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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