Riding profile
Doubs — 5ème circonscription
The question
Doubs — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?
Editorial read
Doubs — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Doubs, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 37% vote share, against 36% for the LR right, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Annie GENEVARD
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Safe
- Probability
- 98%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 0.3
- P(close race)
- 3%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereDoubs — 5ème circonscription | 36.6% | 36.2% | 16.0% | 7.4% |
| Provincial averageDoubs | 40.3% −3.7 | 9.7% +26.5 | 25.7% −9.7 | 19.7% −12.2 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +0.6 | 12.2% +24.0 | 29.5% −13.5 | 20.6% −13.2 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie GENEVARD Elected | LR and allies | 20,356 | 35.2 | — |
| Floriane JEANDENAND | RN and allies | 19,505 | 33.7 | — |
| Matthieu CASSEZ | Left (NFP) | 9,709 | 16.8 | — |
| Lucas BOILLOT | Centre (Ensemble) | 7,176 | 12.4 | — |
| Sonya MORRISON | Far left | 588 | 1.0 | — |
| Nolann LAURENT | Others | 497 | 0.9 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Doubs — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Doubs — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Doubs — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Doubs — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Jura — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Haute-Saône — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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