Riding profile
Jura — 3ème circonscription
The question
Jura — 3ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Jura — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Jura, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 41% vote share, against 34% for the LR right, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Justine GRUET
Sits with LR and allies
Current forecast
LR and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 68%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 6.8
- P(close race)
- 65%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | LR and allies | Left (NFP) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereJura — 3ème circonscription | 40.5% | 33.7% | 22.3% | 1.9% |
| Provincial averageJura | 39.1% +1.4 | 24.2% +9.5 | 22.4% −0.1 | 1.9% |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +4.6 | 12.2% +21.5 | 29.5% −7.2 | 3.9% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aurore VUILLEMIN-PLANCON | RN and allies | 19,354 | 39.7 | — |
| Justine GRUET Elected | LR and allies | 16,727 | 34.3 | — |
| Hervé PRAT | Left (NFP) | 11,834 | 24.3 | — |
| Dominique REVOY | Far left | 796 | 1.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Doubs — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Jura — 1ère circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 2ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côte-d'Or — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Jura — 2ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Doubs — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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