Riding profile

Finistère — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Finistère

The question

Finistère — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Finistère — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 32% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Annaïg LE MEUR

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Toss-up

Probability
74%
Mean margin (pts)
4.0
P(close race)
46%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 31.9%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 27.9%
  • RN and allies 27.5%
  • LR and allies 9.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
HereFinistère — 1ère circonscription 31.9%27.9%27.5%9.5%
Provincial averageFinistère 32.1% −0.1 27.0% +0.9 30.0% −2.5 6.3% +3.2
National averageFrance 29.5% +2.4 20.6% +7.3 36.0% −8.5 12.2% −2.7

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.0 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Annaïg LE MEUR Elected Centre (Ensemble) 22,422 33.0 —
Grégory LEBERT Left (NFP) 22,303 32.8 —
Christel HÉNAFF RN and allies 16,083 23.7 —
Alain LE GRAND LR and allies 5,652 8.3 —
Serge HARDY Far left 858 1.3 —
France HERMAN RN and allies 620 0.9 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next