Riding profile

Finistère — 6ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Finistère

The question

Finistère — 6ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Finistère — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 38% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Mélanie THOMIN

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Safe

Probability
94%
Mean margin (pts)
4.1
P(close race)
13%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 38.2%
  • RN and allies 34.0%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 22.9%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.6%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereFinistère — 6ème circonscription 38.2%34.0%22.9%2.0%
Provincial averageFinistère 32.1% +6.1 30.0% +4.0 27.0% −4.1 2.9% −0.9
National averageFrance 29.5% +8.7 36.0% −1.9 20.6% +2.3 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+4.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Mélanie THOMIN Elected Left (NFP) 24,664 37.9 —
Patrick LE FUR RN and allies 19,671 30.2 —
Erwan CROUAN Centre (Ensemble) 18,223 28.0 —
Tugdal PERENNEC Left (NFP) 808 1.2 —
Philippe CORDIER Far left 753 1.2 —
Evelyne CARAYON RN and allies 637 1.0 —
Kenny DELFERRIERE Far left 360 0.6 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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