Riding profile
Finistère — 4ème circonscription
The question
Finistère — 4ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Finistère — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 30% vote share, against 29% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Sandrine LE FEUR
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 65%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 1.3
- P(close race)
- 55%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFinistère — 4ème circonscription | 30.0% | 28.7% | 25.5% | 12.2% |
| Provincial averageFinistère | 32.1% −2.0 | 30.0% −1.3 | 27.0% −1.5 | 6.3% +5.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +0.5 | 36.0% −7.2 | 20.6% +5.0 | 12.2% |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sylvaine VULPIANI | Left (NFP) | 18,765 | 30.9 | — |
| Sandrine LE FEUR Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,586 | 30.6 | — |
| Tony BIHOUEE | RN and allies | 15,690 | 25.9 | — |
| Agnès LE BRUN | LR and allies | 6,697 | 11.0 | — |
| Patricia BLOSSE | Far left | 942 | 1.6 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Finistère — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Finistère — 5ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Finistère — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Finistère — 2ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Finistère — 3ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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