Riding profile

Finistère — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Finistère

The question

Finistère — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the centrist bloc?

Editorial read

Finistère — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 34% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Didier LE GAC

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Safe

Probability
94%
Mean margin (pts)
2.5
P(close race)
9%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 33.8%
  • RN and allies 31.2%
  • Left (NFP) 26.0%
  • Others 5.1%
  • Sovereignists 1.6%
  • LR and allies 1.2%
  • Far left 1.0%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Others
HereFinistère — 3ème circonscription 33.8%31.2%26.0%5.1%
Provincial averageFinistère 27.0% +6.8 30.0% +1.2 32.1% −6.0 2.9% +2.2
National averageFrance 20.6% +13.2 36.0% −4.7 29.5% −3.5 3.9% +1.2

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+2.5 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Didier LE GAC Elected Centre (Ensemble) 26,139 38.9 —
Martine DONVAL RN and allies 18,627 27.7 —
Pierre SMOLARZ Left (NFP) 18,074 26.9 —
Hélène FAVE Others 1,808 2.7 —
Marie-Louise THOMAS Sovereignists 1,050 1.6 —
Matthieu MULLER Far left 742 1.1 —
Ronan PERROT RN and allies 427 0.6 —
Annie COLINET Others 293 0.4 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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