Riding profile

Finistère — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Finistère

The question

Finistère — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Finistère — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 29% vote share, against 26% for the united left, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Graziella MELCHIOR

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
44%
Mean margin (pts)
3.1
P(close race)
85%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • RN and allies 29.4%
  • Left (NFP) 26.3%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 25.8%
  • LR and allies 12.3%
  • Others 4.5%
  • Sovereignists 0.9%
  • Far left 0.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) LR and allies
HereFinistère — 5ème circonscription 29.4%26.3%25.8%12.3%
Provincial averageFinistère 30.0% −0.6 32.1% −5.7 27.0% −1.2 6.3% +6.0
National averageFrance 36.0% −6.6 29.5% −3.2 20.6% +5.2 12.2% +0.1

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.1 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Graziella MELCHIOR Elected Centre (Ensemble) 21,567 30.3 —
Gladys GRELAUD Left (NFP) 19,371 27.2 —
Renée THOMAÏDIS RN and allies 18,884 26.5 —
Félix BRIANT LR and allies 7,943 11.2 —
Marcel BERROU Others 1,807 2.5 —
Alexandre MARTIN Sovereignists 641 0.9 —
Christian CAJEAN Far left 553 0.8 —
Dominique LERESTIF Centre (Ensemble) 402 0.6 —

Around the region

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Last model run
Cycle
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