Riding profile
Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription
The question
Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription: will Left (NFP) lose this seat to RN and allies?
Editorial read
Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Côtes-d'Armor, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 39% vote share, against 30% for the united left, and the riding remains competitive.
Sitting member
Murielle LEPVRAUD
Sits with Left (NFP)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Competitive
- Probability
- 80%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 8.5
- P(close race)
- 35%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Left (NFP) | Centre (Ensemble) | Far left | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereCôtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscription | 38.6% | 30.1% | 25.5% | 2.5% |
| Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor | 32.9% +5.7 | 27.3% +2.9 | 24.9% +0.5 | 1.6% +0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +2.6 | 29.5% +0.6 | 20.6% +4.9 | 1.1% +1.4 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Noël LUDE | RN and allies | 19,700 | 34.3 | — |
| Murielle LEPVRAUD Elected | Left (NFP) | 17,826 | 31.0 | — |
| Cyril JOBIC | Centre (Ensemble) | 17,555 | 30.6 | — |
| Sylvie LIRONCOURT | Far left | 1,505 | 2.6 | — |
| Danielle LE MEN | RN and allies | 854 | 1.5 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) CompetitiveOpen →
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Finistère — 4ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Toss-upOpen →
- Finistère — 8ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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