Riding profile
Morbihan — 6ème circonscription
The question
Morbihan — 6ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Morbihan — 6ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Morbihan, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the RN and its allies ahead at 38% vote share, against 28% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jean-Michel JACQUES
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
RN and allies
Toss-up
- Probability
- 56%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 9.6
- P(close race)
- 89%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMorbihan — 6ème circonscription | 37.5% | 28.0% | 22.9% | 6.6% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 33.8% +3.7 | 25.6% +2.4 | 24.3% −1.4 | 5.6% +0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% +1.5 | 20.6% +7.4 | 29.5% −6.6 | 12.2% −5.6 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathalie GUIHOT-VIEIRA | RN and allies | 22,728 | 34.7 | — |
| Jean-Michel JACQUES Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 21,675 | 33.1 | — |
| Jean-Michel BAUDRY | Left (NFP) | 15,561 | 23.8 | — |
| Daniel BARACH | LR and allies | 3,513 | 5.4 | — |
| Kelig LAGREE | Far left | 1,213 | 1.9 | — |
| Valère CHARLERY | Sovereignists | 835 | 1.3 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Morbihan — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Finistère — 8ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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