Riding profile

Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription

Circonscription française — Côtes-d'Armor

The question

Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Côtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription, a mixed riding in Côtes-d'Armor, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 30% vote share, against 29% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Mickaël COSSON

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
37%
Mean margin (pts)
0.8
P(close race)
100%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 29.6%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 28.9%
  • RN and allies 28.8%
  • LR and allies 6.8%
  • Greens 2.2%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.7%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies LR and allies
HereCôtes-d'Armor — 1ère circonscription 29.6%28.9%28.8%6.8%
Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor 27.3% +2.4 24.9% +3.9 32.9% −4.1 10.2% −3.5
National averageFrance 29.5% +0.2 20.6% +8.3 36.0% −7.2 12.2% −5.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.8 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Mickaël COSSON Elected Centre (Ensemble) 21,614 33.0 —
Marion GORGIARD Left (NFP) 19,926 30.4 —
Françoise BILLAUD RN and allies 16,888 25.8 —
Bernard CROGUENNEC LR and allies 3,635 5.5 —
Aourell DANJOU Greens 1,806 2.8 —
Alain LE FOL Far left 671 1.0 —
Virginie MATTASOGLIO Centre (Ensemble) 552 0.8 —
Hervé DENIS Far left 488 0.7 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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