Riding profile

Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Côtes-d'Armor

The question

Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?

Editorial read

Côtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Côtes-d'Armor, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 33% vote share, against 32% for the RN and its allies, and the race could swing.

Sitting member

Eric BOTHOREL

Sits with Centre (Ensemble)

Current forecast

Centre (Ensemble)

Toss-up

Probability
72%
Mean margin (pts)
0.7
P(close race)
49%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Centre (Ensemble) 32.7%
  • RN and allies 31.9%
  • Left (NFP) 29.7%
  • Far left 2.4%
  • Others 2.0%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Centre (Ensemble) RN and allies Left (NFP) Far left
HereCôtes-d'Armor — 5ème circonscription 32.7%31.9%29.7%2.4%
Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor 24.9% +7.7 32.9% −1.0 27.3% +2.4 1.6% +0.8
National averageFrance 20.6% +12.1 36.0% −4.0 29.5% +0.2 1.1% +1.3

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Centre (Ensemble)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+0.7 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Eric BOTHOREL Elected Centre (Ensemble) 29,479 37.8
Marielle LEMAITRE Left (NFP) 23,858 30.6
Jean-Yves LE BOULANGER RN and allies 22,668 29.1
Yann GUÉGUEN Far left 1,953 2.5
Last model run
Cycle
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