Riding profile

Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Côtes-d'Armor

The question

Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription: a safe seat for the LR right?

Editorial read

Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Côtes-d'Armor, elected a member with the LR right in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the LR right ahead at 33% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.

Sitting member

Corentin LE FUR

Sits with LR and allies

Current forecast

LR and allies

Safe

Probability
99%
Mean margin (pts)
1.6
P(close race)
1%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • LR and allies 33.0%
  • RN and allies 31.4%
  • Left (NFP) 22.1%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 9.2%
  • Others 3.6%
  • Far left 0.6%

In context

How this riding stacks up

LR and allies RN and allies Left (NFP) Centre (Ensemble)
HereCôtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscription 33.0%31.4%22.1%9.2%
Provincial averageCôtes-d'Armor 10.2% +22.8 32.9% −1.5 27.3% −5.2 24.9% −15.7
National averageFrance 12.2% +20.8 36.0% −4.5 29.5% −7.4 20.6% −11.4

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
LR and allies
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+1.6 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Corentin LE FUR Elected LR and allies 20,520 32.0 —
Odile DE MELLON RN and allies 18,345 28.6 —
Antoine RAVARD Left (NFP) 14,717 22.9 —
Lucas CLEMENT Centre (Ensemble) 9,127 14.2 —
Jean-Pierre LAMOUR Far left 451 0.7 —
Bryan TYLI Others 447 0.7 —
Gabrielle GATIEN Others 426 0.7 —
Emmanuel ROUXEL Others 178 0.3 —

Around the region

Nearby ridings

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Last model run
Cycle
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