Riding profile
Finistère — 8ème circonscription
The question
Finistère — 8ème circonscription: will Centre (Ensemble) lose this seat to Left (NFP)?
Editorial read
Finistère — 8ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Finistère, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 39% vote share, against 34% for the RN and its allies, and the probability of a close race is negligible.
Sitting member
Erwan BALANANT
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
Left (NFP)
Safe
- Probability
- 97%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.7
- P(close race)
- 6%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| Left (NFP) | RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Others | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereFinistère — 8ème circonscription | 39.3% | 33.7% | 22.7% | 2.0% |
| Provincial averageFinistère | 32.1% +7.3 | 30.0% +3.7 | 27.0% −4.3 | 2.9% −0.9 |
| National averageFrance | 29.5% +9.8 | 36.0% −2.3 | 20.6% +2.1 | 3.9% −1.9 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian PEREZ | RN and allies | 20,003 | 30.8 | — |
| Erwan BALANANT Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 18,031 | 27.8 | — |
| Sébastien MIOSSEC | Left (NFP) | 14,399 | 22.2 | — |
| Thomas LE BON | Left (NFP) | 11,768 | 18.1 | — |
| Anne MOREL | Far left | 741 | 1.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Finistère — 1ère circonscriptionLeft (NFP) CompetitiveOpen →
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Finistère — 6ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 4ème circonscriptionRN and allies CompetitiveOpen →
- Morbihan — 2ème circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Toss-upOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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