Riding profile

Morbihan — 5ème circonscription

Circonscription française — Morbihan

The question

Morbihan — 5ème circonscription: a safe seat for the united left?

Editorial read

Morbihan — 5ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Morbihan, elected a member with the united left in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the united left ahead at 35% vote share, against 31% for the RN and its allies, and the riding remains competitive.

Sitting member

Damien GIRARD

Sits with Left (NFP)

Current forecast

Left (NFP)

Competitive

Probability
88%
Mean margin (pts)
3.9
P(close race)
20%

Projected vote share

Projection by party

  • Left (NFP) 34.6%
  • RN and allies 30.8%
  • Centre (Ensemble) 29.5%
  • Others 2.0%
  • Far left 1.8%
  • LR and allies 1.2%

In context

How this riding stacks up

Left (NFP) RN and allies Centre (Ensemble) Others
HereMorbihan — 5ème circonscription 34.6%30.8%29.5%2.0%
Provincial averageMorbihan 24.3% +10.4 33.8% −3.0 25.6% +3.9 8.8% −6.8
National averageFrance 29.5% +5.1 36.0% −5.2 20.6% +8.9 3.9% −1.9

Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).

Previous election · FR LEG_2024

Won by
Left (NFP)
Margin
0.0 pts
Margin shift vs current projection
+3.9 pts

Detailed result · FR LEG_2024

Candidates and votes

Candidate Party Votes % Occupation
Damien GIRARD Elected Left (NFP) 19,612 35.6
Lysiane MÉTAYER Centre (Ensemble) 19,081 34.6
Aurélie LE GOFF RN and allies 15,386 27.9
Blandine PIERRON Far left 1,067 1.9
Last model run
Cycle
fr_leg_next