Riding profile
Morbihan — 2ème circonscription
The question
Morbihan — 2ème circonscription: who wins this toss-up?
Editorial read
Morbihan — 2ème circonscription, a mixed riding in Morbihan, elected a member with the centrist bloc in the previous cycle, with a 0-point margin. The Vote-Scope model projects the centrist bloc ahead at 33% vote share, against 27% for the centrist bloc, and the race could swing.
Sitting member
Jimmy PAHUN
Sits with Centre (Ensemble)
Current forecast
Centre (Ensemble)
Toss-up
- Probability
- 65%
- Mean margin (pts)
- 5.9
- P(close race)
- 62%
In context
How this riding stacks up
| RN and allies | Centre (Ensemble) | Left (NFP) | LR and allies | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| HereMorbihan — 2ème circonscription | 32.9% | 27.0% | 24.9% | 10.2% |
| Provincial averageMorbihan | 33.8% −0.9 | 25.6% +1.4 | 24.3% +0.7 | 5.6% +4.5 |
| National averageFrance | 36.0% −3.1 | 20.6% +6.5 | 29.5% −4.6 | 12.2% −2.0 |
Provincial averages computed across the 577 riding-level projections (unweighted mean).
Previous election · FR LEG_2024
Detailed result · FR LEG_2024
Candidates and votes
| Candidate | Party | Votes | % | Occupation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jimmy PAHUN Elected | Centre (Ensemble) | 26,667 | 32.1 | — |
| Florent DE KERSAUSON | RN and allies | 24,920 | 30.0 | — |
| Jade BENIGUEL | Left (NFP) | 21,405 | 25.8 | — |
| Pierre CLAVREUIL | LR and allies | 7,472 | 9.0 | — |
| Maëlig TRÉDAN | Others | 1,615 | 1.9 | — |
| Yves CHEÈRE | Far left | 899 | 1.1 | — |
Around the region
Nearby ridings
Tone only — pick a riding to see the numbers.
- Morbihan — 3ème circonscriptionRN and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Morbihan — 5ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Morbihan — 6ème circonscriptionRN and allies Toss-upOpen →
- Morbihan — 1ère circonscriptionCentre (Ensemble) Safe seatOpen →
- Finistère — 8ème circonscriptionLeft (NFP) Safe seatOpen →
- Côtes-d'Armor — 3ème circonscriptionLR and allies Safe seatOpen →
- Last model run
- Cycle
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